Who is dominating the swing states?

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Joe Biden is leading ​Donald Trump in the national polls for the presidential election.

But that doesn't guarantee a victory for the Democratic candidate. Hillary Clinton also had a clear lead over Trump in the polls for almost the entire 2016 campaign. She ended up losing in the electoral college.

Currently, in Florida 46% are voting Trump and 49.3% are voting Joe Biden.

In Ohio and Iowa Trump is in the lead.

In 2004, Iowa voted Trump and they switched to Joe Biden in 2008. They continued to support Joe Biden in 2012 but went back to Trump in 2016.

Now, it's 2020 and Trump is leading in Iowa.

The rural state of Iowa has become increasingly Republican in recent elections, buoyed by the support of working-class white voters. Trump managed to claim the state with a swing of 15 points in 2016.

What do you think?

Will Joe Biden keep the lead; or will Donald Trump climb up to the top?

Comment below your anwser!

Thank you,


Comments (8)

  • Olivia-Avatar.jpg Olivia @ Topical Talk
    15 Oct 2020

    I have approved this post as I think it starts a really interesting conversation. However, in future, please make sure that all work is in your own words and that you include a link to the website where you found your information!

    You said that:
    In 2004, Iowa voted Trump and they switched to Joe Biden in 2008. They continued to support Joe Biden in 2012 but went back to Trump in 2016.

    But in 2004, Trump didn't campaign for president. Do you mean they voted for the Republican party then Democrat and went back to Republican in 2016?

    It would be great to hear more about this!

    Reply to this comment
  • Cheam Park logo magnificent_guava | Cheam Park Farm Primary | United Kingdom
    15 Oct 2020

    I loved that! That was some great interesting facts outspoken_planet.
    I think Joe Biden because there is a chance at this point of stage where Donald Trump is not actually bothered about citizens as what they want. But Joe Biden could help us. Donald Trump is only bothered about him self but not the coronavirus. But Joe Biden is wanting restrictions keeping citizens safe

    Reply to this comment
  • Ditton Logo fantastic_ant | Ditton Primary School | United Kingdom
    16 Oct 2020

    I think trump will get a few more votes but then Biden will take the lead!

    Reply to this comment
  • Hammond School logo focused_lemon | Hammond Junior School C
    16 Oct 2020

    I think that if I was in a swing state I would vote joe Biden because he is going to spend money on climate change.

    Reply to this comment
  • Michael-Faraday-logo-250x250.jpg decisive_redcurrant | Michael Faraday School | United Kingdom
    16 Oct 2020

    Swing state is a very interesting subject because as you mentioned It is basically when One state knows who they are going to vote. But then they change their minds and going through the other state personally I don’t really like people that’s swing states because I’m a person that is straight forward. So yes
    Thank you for reading

    Reply to this comment
  • Michael-Faraday-logo-250x250.jpg comfortable_chemistry | Michael Faraday School | United Kingdom
    18 Oct 2020

    I think Joe Biden will win the presidential election because there is a consistent pattern in the votes that shows Biden is in the lead. Also, I believe Trump has proven time and time again that he is not fit of the role. I have several reasons for this:
    1) How he handled the virus
    When the virus started increasing slowly in numbers during the months of February and March, the president told the public there wasn't anything to fear for this virus - yet Bob Woodward reveals in his new book, “Rage,” Trump knew from the start that the disease was to be feared. My question is, why would he keep this to himself? Why make millions suffer through unemployment (47.2% of Americans are unemployed) and death?
    Note: I am aware we cannot take Bob Woodward's statement as a fact, but it was intriguing to me knowing Trump might've known the consequences of this virus.

    2) His treatment towards minorities
    In the months of May and June, the support for BLM grew, causing tension between police and those of colour. Trump has shown his support for police and has even said the movement is "bad for everybody" due to it's "bad name, so discriminatory". This angered protestors and the black community because it suggests Trump isn't giving justice to the families of those who have experienced police brutality. Also, Trump called the virus "the Chinese Virus" on record several times. I think this is discriminatory because it's become a global problem, and calling it that puts the blame on China, when it was no one's fault. This was also insensitive towards South East/East Asians because hate crimes against this group have reached highs since the virus started. This could be seen as Trump normalising and even encouraging discrimination against Asians during these perilous times.



    Reply to this comment
    1. Olivia-Avatar.jpg Olivia @ Topical Talk
      comfortable_chemistry's comment 19 Oct 2020

      This is a really well-explained comment which asks great questions (part of the listening skill) and analyses causes and effects (problem-solving). Well done! How do you think supporters of the losing party will feel when their candidate does't win?

      Reply to this comment
      1. Michael-Faraday-logo-250x250.jpg comfortable_chemistry | Michael Faraday School | United Kingdom
        Olivia @ Topical Talk's comment 19 Oct 2020

        Thanks for your comment Olivia. I think that supporters of the losing party will feel very discouraged and even outraged considering Biden and Trump have very different views on how they would run the country. I think this will cause more tension within the US, because as of now, it's slightly 50/50 with the votes.

        Reply to this comment

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